Chasing A Waning Star — Considering Trump’s chance in 2024

Civics And Critics
5 min readJan 2, 2021

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In the grand scheme of things, does Donald J. Trump have the potential of playing the role of front runner or even kingmaker in 2024?

This is a question that, until Trump vetoed the stimulus bill and became persona non grata among what’s left of a very fractured and divisive conservative party, that would have born lingering considerations over the next months to years. But given recent actions, and, summarily, the quiet, yet not so silent backlash that he is presently facing, such considerations are presumably cut in half and significantly more so as we dissect the qualifiers that lead him back to the promise land.

What are those considerations? Chief among them, due to his infectious personality (even when or removed from his propensity for victim card waving), and through such ways he continues to find in which to ingratiate himself upon a portion of the populous so given to a counterculture voice — Lincoln, LBJ, FDR, Kennedy, Clinton, Obama… (regrettably) now Trump — that who, through near religious fervor, treat Trumpism as an enantiodromia and momentary salve for a wounded party that due, in large part, to disenfranchising their own, have gone all-in on an orange tinted huckster that cares less about them than their actual party. Yet less it be said, the media, for all their many sins, are the most egregious in giving a much larger platform to the man that neither deserves such a platform, or the weight it unduly lends him either politically or substantively.

For such people, the questionably sane thoughts of Gerald Celente, author of Trends 2000 and Trend Tracking, wrote in 2009 that what we are seeing is a second American Revolution. Where this sentiment though intending to be prescient in nature, remains derivative and speculative at best. Reagan was seen as a near second coming, and though he lavished in above average polling numbers, suffered many historical disgrace during his tenure as governor and president.

“Yet what we forecast will become the most profound political trend of the century — the trend that will change the world — is still invisible to the same experts, authorities and pundits who didn’t see the financial crisis coming until the bottom fell out of the economy.”

But through such flowery rhetoric and inherent madness of Celente, borns the next consideration that has bolstered Trump’s agenda due to the global philosophical shift that began back in the 90’s, and extended through to 2018 — National Populism. Where Trump’s ineloquent, ineludible refrains nearly coupled such entices through such a movement, it was inevitable for him not to gain the favor of, and the validity needed for his presidency regardless of his many, many international faux pas. The virtue of Nationalistic Populism in many ways refined his crude, nearly incoherent, self-aggrandizing, ramblings on a daily basis via press conferences, speaking engagements, or through his myriad of tweets. But help him it ultimately did… in spite of himself — both at home and abroad.

Yet, where he was part of a growing global trend, he precipitously, and vacuously might be the very anomalous nostrum to usher in it’s decisive demise. The conundrum of chasing a star off within the distance is that once reaching its point of origin nothing remains but the echoing of a presence long lost to time. Admittedly, America has been near last to jump on this geopolitical tendency, yet very well could be the much needed precursor to lead such European, Asian and Latin American countries, among others, away from the dark recesses that they have collectively retreated into.

The third consideration is perhaps the most caustic where even now as Trump has purportedly caved in signing the stimulus bill, he doesn’t often cave, and when he does, it is followed by a flatulent-like sonic boom. He is the kingmaker after all, for now and potentially into the near distant future regardless of his election woes. Though the veneer has been worn off the “Teflon Don,” when not acting dejected as he no doubt is a few weeks removed from Biden assuming the mantle, he leaves the majority of the conservative party cowering from a groundswell of Trumpian sycophants turning on them with immediacy and vigor — chief among them being Mitch McConnell, a lifelong politician that is the strongest of allies to have, and a most formidable foe to oppose. Yet turn on him they have, en masse and with Machiavellian intent.

The next, and rather profound in its totality, is the consideration of, and the fear that haunts Trump’s sweat-soaked dreams, what is or isn’t the New York southern district going to do by way of prosecuting him or not within the new year. This is the one albatross that Donald cannot talk away, nor hide away from through political maneuvering, not for a lack of trying. A related article caught my attention a few weeks back suggesting that Trump was depressed, worried, and “near suicidal” an aide within the White House was reported as saying regarding Trump’s fate. Whether this is an accurate depiction of the man’s psyche, it is nearly impossible to say outside of the beltway. Yet if true, which seemingly it is given the neurasthenia he suffers, might he chose the same fate of his mentor, Hitler and wife Eva Braun?

RUN MELANIA, LEAVE YOUR THINGS AND JUST GO!!

There are very real and stark limitations to both the man and the machinations that made him president and kingmaker. Such a fact shouldn’t be readily dismissed where Trump consistently and defiantly comes to the aid of both Russia and Putin for what can only be described as cloak-and-dagger type reasoning to do so. The emperor has no clothes and yet has so very much left to hide, which brings us to the last, yet, not less important consideration to be contemplated…

Trump fatigue: Like the wines that derive from a Trump vineyard, less is more, and abstinence might be more preferred. By in large (in theory), Trump is going to lose the majority of his sounding boards once ousted from the White House. Had he the clarity of mind to use this to his advantage in offering quick, decisive blows like an adroit, veteran boxer, rather than incessant and pummeling conjecture, he might very well be capable of situating himself for a 2024 run at Biden or, more than likely, Harris or someone else where Joe typifies the hallmarks of a one-term president ala Carter where the good he can bring to the table is outside the political sphere. Yet Trump’s pathology is readily known, and will begin to degrade the more he tries to recapture what is lost — his fame and such considerations that mask his orange-tinted facade.

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Civics And Critics
Civics And Critics

Written by Civics And Critics

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Author, Scholar, Veteran, and Armchair Historian

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